3.10.2009
Japan sucks at math
Well, maybe not the entire country, but their World Baseball Classic coaching staff certainly does.
Bottom of the 8th, down 1-0 to Korea, one out, Ichiro singles to center. The next guy promptly sacrifice bunts (intentionally). Baseball Prospectus estimates that the bunt cost them nearly two-tenths of a run on average, and that's assuming that the sacrifice bunt works 100% of the time. Historical figures from 1999-2006 indicate that the move reduced Japan's chances of winning the game by 7%.
Apparently the sabermetric revolution has not taken root in Japan yet.
EDIT: Japan coaches get pwnz0r3d by Fidel Castro's corpse.
Bottom of the 8th, down 1-0 to Korea, one out, Ichiro singles to center. The next guy promptly sacrifice bunts (intentionally). Baseball Prospectus estimates that the bunt cost them nearly two-tenths of a run on average, and that's assuming that the sacrifice bunt works 100% of the time. Historical figures from 1999-2006 indicate that the move reduced Japan's chances of winning the game by 7%.
Apparently the sabermetric revolution has not taken root in Japan yet.
EDIT: Japan coaches get pwnz0r3d by Fidel Castro's corpse.
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